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Metrics Methodology

Measured the way acquirers measure.

LouieAuto's unit economics are calibrated against the standard benchmarks an M&A analyst uses to price vertical AI SaaS. This page documents the formulas, inputs, and expected-value ranges so the first post-acquisition cohort has a pre-agreed yardstick.

Rule of 40.

Rule of 40 is the combined growth rate plus profit margin. Above 40 earns a multiple premium; above 60 earns a 2–3x premium over the private-SaaS median.

Formula Rule of 40 = YoY ARR Growth % + FCF Margin %

Inputs (post-acquisition base case)

Year-1 ARR growth (from 0 to attach)Not meaningful in year 1 of tuck-in; treated as N/A
Year-2 YoY ARR growth120–200% (attach ramp on acquirer's book)
Year-3 YoY ARR growth60–90%
FCF margin at Year 3 run-rate55–70% (85% GM less 15–25% G&A absorbed into acquirer)
Year-3 Rule of 40115–160 (illustrative base case)

Rule of 40 above 60 carries a +2.2x multiple premium per 10 points over the baseline (Aventis Advisors 2026). At 115–160, the implied multiple premium vs. median private-SaaS is meaningful — and is one of the inputs that takes the strategic-value math from "clean tuck-in" to "premium tuck-in."

Net Revenue Retention.

NRR measures expansion + renewal net of churn on an existing cohort. Above 120% earns a 2–3x multiple premium over NRR < 100% (SaaS Capital; Windsor Drake).

Formula NRR = (Starting ARR + Expansion − Contraction − Churn) / Starting ARR × 100

Expansion paths built into Louie

Rooftop expansionStarter (1–2) → Growth (3–9) → Enterprise (10+). Per-rooftop pricing compounds automatically as the dealer group adds stores.
Module-tier expansionBase modules → Whisperer → Vision appraisal → Fraud pack. Each tier is an upsell at contract renewal.
Performance-share upliftOptional share-of-PVR-lift pricing at renewal. Dealers who measure 6x+ value-to-price have high willingness to trade subscription certainty for share-based upside.

Base case NRR target: 120–140%. Input: 6x–16x value-to-price ratio means dealers have pricing headroom at renewal. Stretch case (performance-share revenue captures a fraction of the uplift): 160–200%.

Gross margin.

Gross margin in LouieAuto is structurally high because the only variable cost is LLM inference.

Cost per rooftop per month (illustrative, at mid-volume usage) LLM inference (Anthropic / OpenAI): $120–$280 Infrastructure (compute, storage, monitoring): $80–$140 Customer support (1:50 rooftop ratio): $60–$100
Total variable cost: $260–$520 Revenue per rooftop per month: $2,000–$2,500
Gross margin GM = 1 − (Variable cost / Revenue) ≈ 79–87%

The multi-provider LLM router is the gross-margin moat. An acquirer with existing Anthropic, OpenAI, Azure, or GCP enterprise agreements gets the inference cost for effectively zero marginal spend. Acquirer-side gross margin: 90%+.

Cohort framework.

The cohort framework is defined today and ready to measure against the first 10 attached rooftops under an acquirer's distribution.

Cohort signalTarget rangeMeasurement cadence
Onboarding time to first value< 30 daysWeekly during first 90 days
Daily active dealers per rooftop> 4Daily
AI query load per rooftop per day200–600Daily
Month-2 module adoption breadth> 6 of 71 modules in active useMonthly
Dealer-reported PVR lift (self-report survey)> $100/unitQuarterly
Gross retention at Month 12> 95%Monthly after Month 12
Logo churn at Month 18< 3%Monthly after Month 18

This framework is pre-wired into Louie's operational telemetry today. Post-acquisition, the first cohort of attached rooftops has a pre-agreed dashboard — no negotiation about what to measure.

Honest caveats.

LouieAuto has no commercial ARR as of April 2026. Every cohort number above is a framework target, not a historical result. The intent of this page is not to claim traction that does not exist — it is to pre-negotiate the yardstick so the first 8 quarters under acquirer distribution have a clean measurement scaffold.

The Rule of 40 and NRR ranges assume a tuck-in deployment on an acquirer's existing dealer book. Independent-go-to-market would produce a different profile (slower ARR growth, higher CAC, lower FCF margin in Years 1–2).