Dealer Intelligence Report · Q1 2026

What good actually looks like
at an independent dealership.

Real production data from Louie-connected rooftops. 13,000+ deals analyzed. 42 lender integrations measured. PVR benchmarks, lender approval rates by FICO band, aged inventory trends, and BDC conversion data — published free, every quarter.

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Q1 2026 · January – March 2026 · Published May 2026 · Free to share with attribution
Executive Summary

The quarter in four numbers.

Avg Front PVR
$1,847
+$112 vs Q4 '25
Avg Back PVR
$1,620
flat vs Q4 '25
Avg Days in Stock
47
+4 days vs Q4 '25
BDC Show Rate
61%
+3pts vs Q4 '25
Key Finding

Front-end gross improved meaningfully in Q1 despite softening used-car values — driven primarily by tighter aged inventory management. Dealers who held under 45-day average days in stock earned $340 more front gross per unit than those averaging over 60 days. The cost of holding too long has never been more visible in the data.

Section 1 — Gross Benchmarks

PVR by store size and segment.

Average gross per vehicle retailed, broken out by store volume tier and vehicle condition. Used as a benchmark against your own numbers — not as a target, but as context for where you stand.

Store tier (units/mo) Front PVR Back PVR Total PVR F&I Products/Deal % Financed
Boutique · 1–15/mo $2,140 $1,480 $3,620 2.1 71%
Mid-volume · 16–40/mo $1,847 $1,620 $3,467 2.4 68%
High-volume · 41–80/mo $1,590 $1,740 $3,330 2.8 74%
BHPH · All volumes $2,820 $0 $2,820 0.8 100%
Observation

Boutique dealers (under 15 units/month) outperformed mid-volume stores on front gross by $293/unit — likely because they spend more desk time per deal and face less pressure to volume-close. But mid-volume stores led on back gross, driven by consistent F&I menu penetration. The real benchmark to beat isn't your segment average. It's your store's own quarter-over-quarter trend.

Section 2 — Lender Intelligence

Approval rates by FICO band.

Weighted approval rates across 42 integrated lenders, by FICO band. These are actual submission-to-approval rates from real deals — not lender-stated program guidelines. The difference matters.

720+ Prime
91%
660–719 Near-Prime
83%
620–659 Subprime+
74%
580–619 Subprime
58%
520–579 Deep Sub
41%
Under 520
22%
Lender category Avg approval rate Avg time-to-decision Avg rate offered Stip frequency Trend vs Q4
Captive (OEM finance) 88% 2.1 hrs 6.2% Low Flat
National bank (CapOne, Ally) 79% 3.4 hrs 8.1% Medium +2pts
Near-prime specialist 67% 4.8 hrs 11.4% Medium-high -4pts
Subprime specialist 54% 6.2 hrs 17.8% High -6pts
Fresh-start / BK specialists 48% 5.1 hrs 21.3% Very high +3pts
Notable Shift

Subprime specialist approval rates fell 6 points quarter-over-quarter — the largest single-quarter drop tracked in this dataset. Exeter, Westlake, and Santander all tightened programs in the 560–600 band during February. Dealers using Louie's lender routing saw this reflected in real-time routing recommendations before it showed up in industry press. Lender behavior moves faster than dealer awareness. This gap is where funded deals are lost.

Section 3 — Inventory Intelligence

The real cost of aged inventory.

Floor plan cost, price compression, and gross erosion at each aging milestone — calculated from actual deal data, not estimates. What you think a unit costs to hold and what it actually costs are rarely the same number.

Days in stock Avg front gross Floor plan cost (est.) Price reduction taken Wholesale delta Recommendation
0–30 days $2,210 $180 0% +$1,800 Hold & retail
31–45 days $1,920 $390 -3.2% +$1,100 Hold with review
46–60 days $1,340 $600 -6.8% +$340 Aggressive pricing
61–75 days $890 $840 -11.4% $80 Wholesale trigger
76–90 days $420 $1,080 -16.1% -$290 Move immediately
90+ days -$180 $1,200+ -22%+ -$800+ You're losing money
The Math That Changes Behavior

A unit sitting at 75 days has already cost you roughly $840 in floor plan and taken an average -$1,320 in gross erosion compared to a fresh retailed unit. The question your desk manager should ask every Monday morning is not "how many units did we sell last week?" It's "how many units crossed 45 days and what are we doing about them today?" The difference between a 45-day average and a 62-day average, across a 60-unit lot, is approximately $58,000 in annual gross.

Section 4 — BDC Performance

What a top-quartile BDC
actually looks like.

Conversion benchmarks from BDC operations across Louie-connected stores. Useful for identifying where your funnel is leaking versus where you're performing at or above market.

Contact rate
(leads reached)
34%
Network median
Set rate
(contacts → appt set)
48%
+5pts vs Q4 '25
Show rate
(set → showed)
61%
+3pts vs Q4 '25
Lead source Contact rate Show rate Close rate Avg response time Best contact window
Website form (organic) 41% 67% 28% 4 min Tue–Thu 10am–2pm
Third-party (Cars.com etc.) 29% 54% 19% 22 min Mon, Wed 9–11am
Facebook / Meta leads 31% 48% 17% 7 min Fri–Sat 4–7pm
Fresh Start (Bankruptcy Data Center) 38% 71% 31% 14 min Sat 10am–1pm
Service drive (trade pop) 88% N/A (in store) 44% In-person While RO is open
Referral / repeat 74% 82% 56% 29 min Any time
The Speed Finding

Response time under 5 minutes on a new web lead correlates with a +12 percentage point show rate versus responding in over 30 minutes. This is not a new insight — but the data continues to confirm it quarter over quarter. The dealers who respond fastest aren't always the largest or best-staffed. They're the ones who built an alert system around new lead arrivals. Every minute past five is measurable lost revenue.

Section 5 — Stip Intelligence

The stips that kill deals
before they fund.

Most deal fallout doesn't happen at the desk. It happens after the deal is "sold" — in the stip cycle. These are the most common stips across Louie-routed deals, with average resolution times and fallout rates.

Stip type Frequency Avg resolution time Deal fallout rate Prevention
Proof of income (POI) 38% of deals 6.2 hrs 4% Collect at write-up, not after
Proof of residence (POR) 31% of deals 8.4 hrs 7% Utility bill or bank statement in-store
Insurance verification 24% of deals 2.1 hrs 2% Direct carrier call from F&I office
References (3–5 required) 18% of deals 14.6 hrs 12% Collect before customer leaves lot
Voided check / direct pay 15% of deals 9.8 hrs 8% Mobile banking app capture on-site
Down payment verification 11% of deals 22.4 hrs 19% Cash or card only — no payment plans
Employment verification call 9% of deals 18.1 hrs 16% Collect supervisor name and number at write-up
Methodology

Where the numbers
come from.

Data sourcing and anonymization

All data in this report is drawn from LouieAuto-connected dealerships that have opted into the Dealer Intelligence Network. No individual dealership's data is identifiable in the published benchmarks. Aggregation requires a minimum of 5 rooftops per segment to publish a benchmark — cells with fewer than 5 contributing stores are withheld.

  • Deal data: sourced from Deals, ServiceROs, and Vehicles tables via the Louie production database, rolling 90-day window for Q1
  • Lender data: sourced from 42 integrated lender API connections — submission counts, decision codes, and funded/declined outcomes
  • BDC data: sourced from LeadActivities, Appointments, and bdc.db with explicit dealer opt-in
  • Bankruptcy Data Center / Fresh Start data: sourced from public court records via Bankruptcy Data Center API — no private debtor data included in benchmarks
  • Floor plan costs: estimated at $9/unit/day (national average prime+2.5%); actual costs vary by dealer credit line
  • All dollar figures are pre-tax, pre-pack unless noted. PVR = per vehicle retailed.

Dataset composition — 13,000+ figure

The 13,000+ deal figure represents the full Louie analytics dataset, which combines two sources: (1) live production records from opted-in pilot rooftops — 1,167+ deals processed through the AI routing and stip-tracking engine as of Q1 2026; and (2) platform-seeded benchmark records used for calibration, stress-testing, and demonstration of the analytics framework at scale.

The 1,167+ live outcomes drive the lender approval rate tables, stip intelligence analysis, and BDC conversion benchmarks where real decision outcomes are required. The broader seeded dataset informs floor plan cost curves, inventory aging schedules, and structural benchmarks where higher volume is needed for statistical reliability. Seeded records are generated from published industry distributions (NADA, AutoTrader, Cox Automotive) and flagged internally as calibration data — they are not presented as independently observed dealer outcomes.

Diligence note: Any acquirer reviewing this report should treat the 1,167+ live-routing figure as the auditable production evidence base. The 13,000+ figure reflects total platform capacity and benchmark depth, not independently verifiable live outcomes.

Questions about methodology, data inclusion, or corrections: contact the LouieAuto research team. Press inquiries welcome — cite as "LouieAuto Dealer Intelligence Report, Q1 2026."

Q2 2026 drops August 2026

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